Colorado State vs. Fresno State prediction, odds, Week 7 CFB expert picks

Colorado State vs. Fresno State: Week 7 CFB Predictions and Insights

As college football enters Week 7, the matchup between Colorado State and Fresno State is set to captivate fans and analysts alike. Scheduled for Saturday, October 14, 2023, this game presents a compelling narrative: Colorado State, struggling with a 2-4 record, faces a formidable opponent in Fresno State, which boasts a 5-1 record. Both teams are at crucial junctures in their seasons, making this matchup essential for their respective trajectories.

A Closer Look at the Teams

# Colorado State Rams: Striving for Consistency

The Colorado State Rams have endured a challenging season under head coach Jay Norvell, with inconsistency plaguing both their offense and defense. Their performance has been particularly concerning in high-pressure situations, as highlighted by their recent loss to Utah State. In that game, the Rams managed to score their first touchdown only late in the fourth quarter, illustrating their struggles to execute under duress.

Statistical insights reveal that Colorado State ranks low in various critical metrics. According to NCAA data, they are positioned near the bottom in points per game, averaging just 18.5 points, and have allowed an average of 36.2 points on defense. The offensive line has faced scrutiny for its insufficient protection of the quarterback, limiting offensive continuity and effectiveness. Running back Avery Morrow has shown flashes of potential, but the lack of support from the offensive line has hindered his ability to make significant contributions.

# Fresno State Bulldogs: Riding High

In stark contrast, the Fresno State Bulldogs are enjoying a successful campaign, driven by a potent offense led by quarterback Jake Haener. With a completion rate exceeding 68% and over 1,500 passing yards this season, Haener has proven to be a pivotal figure for the Bulldogs. His ability to read defenses and connect with his receivers has been instrumental in their success.

Fresno State’s only setback came against a strong Oregon State team in a hard-fought contest. However, they quickly rebounded with a decisive victory against New Mexico, scoring 41 points while allowing just 17. Their defense has been equally impressive, yielding an average of only 20 points per game. This combination of a dynamic offense and a staunch defense makes Fresno State a formidable opponent heading into this matchup.

Game Analysis: Key Matchups and Strategies

# Offense vs. Defense

The most critical matchup in this game will feature Fresno State’s explosive offense against Colorado State’s struggling defense. The Bulldogs will likely look to exploit the Rams’ defensive vulnerabilities, particularly in the secondary. With the capability to stretch the field vertically, Fresno State’s offense could create mismatches, especially if Haener can connect with playmakers like wide receiver Jalen Cropper, who has been a consistent deep threat.

Conversely, Colorado State must find a way to establish a balanced offensive attack. This means utilizing their running game effectively to create opportunities for their quarterback, who will be under immense pressure to perform against a disciplined Fresno State defense. The Rams’ offensive coordinator will need to devise a game plan that allows for quick, efficient plays to mitigate the impact of Fresno State’s pass rush.

# Special Teams and Turnovers

Special teams play could prove pivotal in determining the game’s outcome. Both teams have shown weaknesses in kickoff and punt coverage, which could lead to advantageous field positions. Additionally, turnovers will be a critical factor; Fresno State has excelled in capitalizing on opponents’ mistakes this season, and Colorado State must avoid giving away possessions if they hope to keep the game competitive.

Betting Odds and Expert Picks

As of this writing, the betting odds favor Fresno State by around 10 points. Analysts expect the Bulldogs to win comfortably, given their recent form and Colorado State’s struggles. Notably, CBS Sports experts have pointed out that this game is crucial for Colorado State. A victory could reinvigorate their season and provide a much-needed morale boost, while a loss could deepen their struggles.

Historical Context and Rivalry

The rivalry between Colorado State and Fresno State has seen its share of highs and lows, characterized by periods of dominance from both teams. In their last meeting, Fresno State secured a decisive victory, and they will be eager to extend their winning streak against the Rams. The significance of this matchup extends beyond mere statistics; it embodies a clash of contrasting philosophies and approaches to the game.

For Colorado State, the focus is on rebuilding under Norvell, aiming to re-establish themselves as a competitive force in the Mountain West Conference. On the other hand, Fresno State seeks to solidify its status as a leading contender, aiming for a strong finish to the season and a potential bowl game berth.

What’s Next for Both Teams?

Regardless of Saturday’s outcome, both teams must assess their performance and make adjustments for the remainder of the season. For Colorado State, the focus will be on building momentum and discovering a pathway to bowl eligibility. Meanwhile, Fresno State will look to maintain its winning ways and prepare for tougher opponents in the coming weeks.

Key Players to Watch

# For Colorado State:

1. Avery Morrow (RB) – The running back has the potential to break through if the offensive line can provide adequate support. His ability to gain yards on the ground could be critical in establishing a balanced attack.

2. Clay Millen (QB) – As the leader of the offense, Millen must deliver a strong performance. His ability to make quick decisions and capitalize on defensive mistakes will be vital.

# For Fresno State:

1. Jake Haener (QB) – The star quarterback is at the center of the Bulldogs’ offensive strategy. His skill in distributing the ball to multiple targets will be crucial in dismantling Colorado State’s defense.

2. Jalen Cropper (WR) – Known for his ability to stretch defenses, Cropper could be a game-changer with his speed and agility. He is a key target for Haener and could exploit any lapses in the Rams’ secondary.

FAQ

Q: When is the Colorado State vs. Fresno State game scheduled?
A: The game is set for Saturday, October 14, 2023.

Q: What is the current betting line for the game?
A: Fresno State is favored by about 10 points.

Q: How have both teams performed this season?
A: Fresno State has a record of 5-1, while Colorado State is struggling with a 2-4 record.

Q: What are the key factors that could influence the game’s outcome?
A: Key factors include turnovers, special teams play, and the matchup between Fresno State’s offense and Colorado State’s defense.

Q: How have injuries impacted both teams leading into this game?
A: Injuries can significantly affect team dynamics, particularly for Colorado State, which has had players sidelined on both sides of the ball, impacting their depth and overall performance.

Q: What is at stake for both teams in this matchup?
A: For Colorado State, a win could boost morale and hopes for bowl eligibility. For Fresno State, a victory would solidify their position as a top contender in the conference.